As most who know me already know, I’m not a believer in “we’re all going to die” alarmist global warming. That doesn’t mean I don’t think the Earth is warming, it also doesn’t mean we don’t need to keep things clean and picked up. Come on, we live on this planet, polluting it isn’t very smart. But does less than a single degree of warming really constitute the end of the world as we know it?  Ya ya, I know. The IPCC “models” predict 6 degrees of warming in the next 100 years. Sorry, gotta call bullshit on that one.  I’ll explain another time.

Anyhow, I was chatting with a buddy the other day and when he asked what I was doing I told him I was doing some reading on Climate Change. He wanted to know why. Why read about something I already have an opinion on? That kind of floored me. How else can someone have an opinion if they don’t know anything about it. Ya, I know, ignorance isn’t an exclusion for opinion. However, I like to think I’ve at least tried to see both sides before getting on my soap box.

So, if I’m doing research on this subject, and I have no idea of what to believe and what not to believe half the time. Well, I think I’ll write a bit about the subject and why I think it can be so complicated and not such a cut and dried thing.

So, why the title “Climate Change Confusion”? Well, because unlike some ignorant people on both sides of the fence, there is a lot we don’t understand about our climate.

So, in this post I will chat about something as simple as sea level. What’s the sea level change been over the last 100 years? (Lately we have some pretty accurate measuring devices, but only lately).  Not a simple question to answer. It may sound simple, just go measure the sea level over a period of time, average it out, do it again the next day, etc etc. Unfortunately it’s quite a bit more complicated than that.

Did you know the sea level in southern England is rising? But did you also know that on the northern half it’s falling. What? How can that be? Well, the southern half of the island is settling a bit while the northern half is actually rebounding still from the last glaciation period. All the weight of the ice pushed the land down and now it’s bouncing back up. So, to all appearances the sea level is dropping. This type of thing is happening all over the globe.

So, even taking something as simple as sea level, once you start digging deeper into the how it’s done, suddenly it’s not a simple answer anymore. Now, try to figure out the average sea level rise for the planet, when the rise can be smaller than the margin of error. It’s not an easy thing to do accurately. Even though some would like you to think it is.

A perfect example of bull is the the publicized farce down in the Maldives. “We’re all gonna drown!!! It’s because of Global Warming! We need to punish the rich nations for our loss! It’s ALL their fault because of Carbon Dioxide!” Well, it’s not because of a fraction of a percent change in CO2 ya fools, it’s because the sea has been rising since the last ice age. Oh, and it’s also happening a few millimeters at a time. Unless of course it’s you stupid Islands that are SINKING and not the ocean that’s rising. Minor detail.

If you want to read more about sea level rise do some research. Don’t believe the talking heads on TV. Or the ones that scream “We’re all headed for disaster” when they refuse to make their raw data or methods for how they came up with such ridiculous claims open to public scrutiny. If a government sponsored scientist refuses to make his/her data and methods open for public view, there is a reason. Here are a couple of links for further reading, but don’t trust me to be not to try and sway you, research it yourself. And the more places you check the better.  Here are a couple of places you can start.

Now, most people I wouldn’t take their word on this subject. I’m not the most trusting sort. But, with every rule there is an exception. If my friend Dr. Kate Hedstrom tells me I’m full of it for thinking this is more complicated than I’m making it out to be, well, I’ll take her word for it. Why? Because frankly, I know when someone outsmarts the crap out of me, and also knows what they are talking about. So, Kate, if you ever read this, tell me what you think.  And for anyone else who just wants to feel dumb for a bit, look her up. She’s an Oceanographer/Scientist up at the University of Alaska’s Arctic Region Supercomputing Center, and a heck of a knitter also.

FYI. Current estimated global sea level rise is somewhere between 1 and 3 mm a year.